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SUMMARY:Stefanie DeLuca\, Johns Hopkins University\, “Colleges that obviously don’t have what you need”: Risk\, Social Mobility and the Postsecondary Decisions of Low-Income Students”
DESCRIPTION:Biography: Stefanie DeLuca is the James Coleman Professor of Social Policy and Sociology at the Johns Hopkins University\, Director of the Poverty and Inequality Research Lab\, and Research Principal at Opportunity Insights at Harvard University. She co-authored Coming of Age in the Other America (with Susan Clampet-Lundquist and Kathryn Edin)\, which was named an Outstanding Academic Title from the American Library Association and won the William F. Goode Award from the American Sociological Association. Her work has been funded by the Department of Housing and Urban Development\, National Science Foundation\, Russell Sage Foundation\, Annie E. Casey Foundation\, Spencer Foundation\, MacArthur Foundation\, Abell Foundation\, Smith Richardson Foundation\, National Academy of Education\, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Department of Education\, among others. She contributes frequently to national and local media\, including The Atlantic\, Baltimore Sun\, The Economist\, The New Yorker\, The New York Times\, The Wall Street Journal\, The Washington Post\, and National Public Radio. Stefanie has been invited to share her research to support policy recommendations at the federal level at the Department of Housing and Urban Development\, the Department of Education\, the Department of Health and Human Services\, and has provided briefings and testimony for several state legislatures and in federal court on behalf of the plaintiffs in the Baltimore Thompson v. HUD housing desegregation case. She currently serves on a Federal Research Advisory Commission at the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Stefanie’s other awards and honors include the Publicly Engaged Scholar Award from the Community and Urban Sociology Section of the American Sociological Association\, Scholar of the Year by the National Alliance of Resident Services in Assisted and Affordable Housing\, William T. Grant Faculty Scholars Award\, Johns Hopkins University Alumni Excellence in Teaching Award\, and election to the Sociological Research Association. \n  \n\n\n\nColleges that obviously don’t have what you need: Risk\, Social Mobility and the Postsecondary Decisions of Low-Income Students\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nAbstract: While postsecondary education enrollment rates have soared over the last few decades\, dilemmas remain about how to support young adults as they navigate paths after high school. On the one hand\, postsecondary education plays a vital role in promoting intergenerational mobility\, increasing earnings\, and improving job quality. On the other hand\, there are large and growing gaps in college attendance\, college quality\, and college completion rates by family income\, leaving many young adults with only ‘some college’ and a relatively unsupported and sooner-than-expected transition to work. As a policy response\, selective colleges and universities have tried to increase opportunities for low-income students on their campuses\, with some significantly investing in financial aid expansions and other supportive interventions. One example is an experimentally evaluated intervention at the University of Michigan (UM) called the HAIL Scholarship Study\, which tests whether a personalized offer of a guaranteed four-years of financial aid can increase enrollment of students from low-income families. HAIL has been very successful\, more than doubling application and enrollment at UM among Michigan students from low-income families. However\, one-third of the students who received the HAIL offer never applied to UM and one-fifth of those admitted did not attend UM. How do we explain such decisions? We use qualitative interviews with 136 low-income high-achieving high school seniors from the HAIL intervention to understand how they experienced and assessed risk in the college decision-making process. We find that low-income students –even high-performing low-income students with the tuition-guarantee—worry about whether the investment in a four-year degree is worth it. In particular\, we observe a profound fear of failure as students worry that they will not complete their bachelor’s degrees and/or they worry that their college education will not pay off in terms of job or financial stability. The fear of non-completion seems to stem from several sources\, including: the inability to perform well academically while at a selective institution; indecision about major and finding something of interest that will lead to a solid career; being away from social support; and concerns about shocks that might occur to derail them. As a result of this risk assessment\, students enact a number of mitigation strategies to get a better sense of what they want to do\, many resulting in an indefinite delay of their college enrollment.
URL:https://ccpr.ucla.edu/event/stefanie-deluca-johns-hopkins-university-tbd/
LOCATION:Room 4240A\, 4th Floor\, Public Affairs Building\, 337 Charles Young Dr.\, LA\, CA 90095
CATEGORIES:CCPR Seminar
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DTSTART;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20251112T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20251112T131500
DTSTAMP:20260430T045730
CREATED:20250805T180415Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20250929T212930Z
UID:10000937-1762948800-1762953300@ccpr.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Manasi Deshpande\, The University of Chicago\, "Explaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment"
DESCRIPTION:Biography:  Manasi Deshpande is an associate professor of economics with tenure at the University of Chicago Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics and a faculty research fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Her research interests include the optimal design of social safety net programs\, their interaction with labor markets\, and their effects on consumption\, health\, and well-being. She has received the Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellowship\, NSF CAREER award\, and William T. Grant Scholarship. Her dissertation on the long-term effects of disability programs received the 2015 APPAM Dissertation Award\, the 2015 Upjohn Institute Dissertation Award\, and the 2016 NASI John Heinz Dissertation Award. She holds a Ph.D. in economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and was previously a postdoctoral fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Becker-Friedman Institute.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nExplaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nAbstract: After substantial growth in the 1990s and 2000s\, enrollment in the U.S. Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) program has been declining since 2013. We use detailed administrative data to quantify the contributions of various factors to trends in SSDI enrollment\, focusing especially on the decline in the 2010s. A statistical decomposition suggests that the vast majority of the decline in SSDI enrollment since 2013 is attributable to declines in application rates and\, to a lesser extent\, award rates\, within demographic groups\, rather than changes over time in demographic characteristics\, eligibility\, or rates of exit from SSDI. The decline in SSDI enrollment rates is disproportionately driven by older low-to-middle-skilled men with relatively severe health conditions who\, over time\, have become less likely to apply for SSDI and more likely to work. Consistent with this descriptive evidence\, we present results from a causal analysis suggesting that improved labor market opportunities for older middle-skilled men could explain the decline in SSDI enrollment. We also present a set of causal estimates that rule out several popular hypotheses for the decline in SSDI applications\, including lower award rates at the appeal level\, a higher administrative burden of applying\, greater generosity of other programs\, and reductions in pollution and smoking.
URL:https://ccpr.ucla.edu/event/manasi-deshpande-the-university-of-chicago-tbd/
LOCATION:Room 4240A\, 4th Floor\, Public Affairs Building\, 337 Charles Young Dr.\, LA\, CA 90095
CATEGORIES:CCPR Seminar
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20251119T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20251119T131500
DTSTAMP:20260430T045730
CREATED:20250805T180727Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20250929T213050Z
UID:10000938-1763553600-1763558100@ccpr.ucla.edu
SUMMARY:Nathan Nunn\, University of British Columbia\, “Development Mismatch?: Evidence from Agricultural Projects in Pastoral Africa”
DESCRIPTION:  \nBiography: Nathan Nunn is a Professor of Economics at the University of British Columbia and holds a Canada Research Chair in cultural economics. His research examines the historical and dynamic process of economic development\, focusing on the evolution of culture\, norms\, and institutions across societies. He has published dozens of articles aimed at improving our understanding of the historical process of factors relevant to economic development\, including distrust\, gender norms\, religiosity\, rule-following\, zero-sum thinking\, honor cultures\, conflict\, immigration\, state formation\, and support for democracy. Another aspect of his research examines the importance of local cultural context for contemporary development policy. \nDevelopment Mismatch?: Evidence from Agricultural Projects in Pastoral Africa\n\n\n\n\nAbstract: We study the consequences of a clash between contemporary development initiatives and traditional economic practices in Africa. Crop agriculture has expanded considerably across the continent in recent years. Much of this expansion has occurred in traditionally pastoral areas. This is believed to be a major cause of conflict between pastoral and agricultural ethnic groups. We test this hypothesis using geocoded data on agricultural development projects across Africa from 1995-2014. We find that implementing agricultural projects in traditionally pastoral areas leads to a two-fold increase in the risk of conflict. We find no equivalent effect for agricultural projects implemented in traditionally agricultural areas\, nor for non-agricultural projects implemented in either location. We also find that this mechanism contributes to the spread of extremist-religious conflict in the form of jihadist attacks. The effects are muted when agricultural projects are paired with pastoral projects\, which is more likely to occur when pastoral groups have more political power. Despite these effects on conflict\, we find that crop agriculture projects increase nighttime luminosity in both agricultural and pastoral areas. Evidence from survey data suggest that the gains in pastoral areas are concentrated in on-pastoral households. Our results indicate that “development mismatch” – i.e.\, imposing projects that are misaligned with local communities – can be costly.
URL:https://ccpr.ucla.edu/event/nathan-nunn-university-of-british-columbia-tbd/
LOCATION:Room 4240A\, 4th Floor\, Public Affairs Building\, 337 Charles Young Dr.\, LA\, CA 90095
CATEGORIES:CCPR Seminar
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