California Center for Population Research

Preparing for the Job Market
2016-05-06 12:00 - 13:30 (America/Los_Angeles) | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Friday, May 6th, 2016
12:00-1:30 PM
4240 Public Affairs Building
About: Panel of speakers will focus on key points and tips for graduate students preparing for the job market both in academia and the private sector.
Devin Bunten (Ph. D candidate, Economics)
Prof. Siwei Cheng (Assistant Professor, UCLA Sociology)
Mieke Eeckhaut (CCPR Postdoc)
Rosanna Smart (Ph. D candidate, Economics)
Sign up today!
https://goo.gl/DE9sjE

Raj Chetty, Stanford University
2016-05-04 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“The Relationship between Income and Life Expectancy: Local Area Variation in the United States, 2001-2014”
Abstract: We examine inequality in life expectancy using 1.4 billion anonymous earnings and mortality records covering the U.S. population from 1999-2014. We present four main findings. First, higher income is associated with greater longevity throughout the income distribution. The richest 1% of American men live 15 years longer than the poorest 1%, while the richest 1% of American women live 10 years longer than the poorest 1%. Second, inequality in life expectancy has increased in recent years at the national level. From 2001-2014, the richest 5% of Americans gained approximately 3 years in longevity, but the poorest 5% experienced no gains. Third, life expectancy varies substantially across areas, especially for low-income individuals. Life expectancy varies by approximately 5 years between the areas with the highest and lowest longevity. Trends in life expectancy varied substantially across areas as well, ranging from gains of more than 4 years between 2001 and 2014, to losses of more than 2 years. Fourth, differences in life expectancy across areas for low-income individuals are highly correlated with differences in health behaviors such as smoking, obesity and exercise. In contrast, life expectancy for low-income Americans is not significantly correlated with measures of the quantity and quality of medical care, local income inequality, residential segregation, and labor market conditions. Low-income individuals tend to live the longest (and have the most healthful behaviors) in affluent cities with highly educated populations and high levels of government expenditures.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars@ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Prof. Jennie Brand, Ryan Cho, Dylan Connor, Ravaris Moore, Amanda Nguyen, Ben Smith and Chad Stecher
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Manisha Shah
3:00 pm – 3:30 pm: Prof. Leah Boustan
3:30 pm – 4:00 pm: Prof. Moshe Buchinsky
4:00 pm – 4:30 pm: Prof. Till Von Wachter
4:30 pm – 5:00 pm: Prof. Adriana Lleras-Muney

David Grusky, Stanford University
2016-04-27 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“The Death of the American Dream?”
Abstract: Whenever an election rolls around, we can count on dire warnings that the American Dream is under threat, that hard work and talent are no longer guarantees of success, and that what now matters most is winning the “birth lottery” and being raised by rich parents. But are these dire warnings true? Can a child born into a middle-class family expect to earn much more than a child born into a poor family? What about a child born into the one percent? Does that translate into a huge boon to the child’s earnings? Drawing on new tax-return data, the hard facts about social mobility in the U.S. are presented, with a special focus on differences in the mobility opportunities of boys and girls.
*Co-sponsored with the Dept. of Sociology & Inequality Working Group
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
11:00 am – 11:30 am: Heeju Sohn
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Ryan Cho, Dylan Connor, Alexis Cooke, Larissa Dooley, Lei Feng, Ravaris Moore, Lena Riess, Rosanna Smart, Chad Stecher
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Till von Wachter
3:00 pm – 3:30 pm: Prof. Siwei Cheng
4:00 pm – 4:30 pm: Prof. Jennie Brand
4:30 pm – 5:00 pm: Prof. Judith Seltzer

Ian W. Holloway, UCLA
2016-04-20 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Awareness, Attitudes and Uptake Among Young Gay, Bisexual and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men (MSM) in California.”
Abstract: Young men who have sex with men (YMSM) in the United States (US) continue to be disproportionately affected by HIV with large racial/ethnic disparities among African-Americans and Latinos. The World Health Organization now recommends that all people at substantial risk of HIV should be offered pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). While PrEP awareness has generally increased, actual PrEP usage among MSM has been limited. Little is known about PrEP awareness, attitudes, and uptake among racially and ethnically diverse YMSM.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Matthew Miller, Lena Reiss

NBER Cohort Studies Meeting
2016-04-15 - 2016-04-16 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
CCPR is hosting the annual NBER Cohort Studies meeting which brings together researchers from different fields interested in aging related issues or in methodologies applicable to aging and has set the seeds for synergistic relationships between economists, sociologists, demographers, psychologists, epidemiologists, and MDs. The meeting is funded in part by an NIH conference grant through NBER.

NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

Cohort Studies Meeting

Dora Costa, Organizer

April 15-16, 2016

California Center for Population Research at UCLA
337 Charles E. Young Drive, East
Room 4240, Public Affairs Building (4th Floor)
Los Angeles, California

James Macinko, UCLA
2016-04-13 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Self-reported racial identity, genomic ancestry, and health disparities in Brazil: an exploratory study”
Abstract: Health disparities based on skin color/racial identification are present in many societies. In Brazil, studies have shown that people who describe their skin color as other than white (e.g. mixed, black, and/or indigenous) are more likely to report discrimination, are less likely to receive some types of health services, experience higher mortality, and have higher rates of some negative health behaviors. But how should we interpret these disparities given Brazil’s complex, fluid, and changing system of ethnoracial classification and racial identity? This study explores the congruence between genome-wide measures of ancestry and self-reported ethnoracial identify in Brazil and assesses their relationship with 4 health outcomes with distinct etiologies: self-rated health, hypertension, complications from Chagas disease, and all-cause mortality. Preliminary results are discussed in terms of implications for measuring and addressing such disparities in a dynamic multiracial society.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Larissa Dooley

Practical GIS for Demography
2016-04-08 11:00 - 13:00 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
PLEASE BRING A PERSONAL LAPTOP
We will provide all the software tools (no installation needed)

Content:
Geographically referenced data sets are becoming increasingly common.
In spatial analysis of demographic data, three common spatial indices are used: points, lines, and polygons. Through interspersed hands on exercises, we will: obtain, shape, and visualize demographic data over space. We will briefly discuss the motivation for incorporating geographic association into downstream models.

Below is an example of what we will produce with [R]
1) Obtain GPS locations of In-N-Out’s obtained from the Google Radar API
2) Compute their generated Voronoi Tesselation to address spatial competition
3) Aggregate Census 2010 tract-level population counts into these competing geographies
No background knowledge of [R] will be required. The exercises are introductory. We will also highlight alternative software tools to achieve similar goals, such as GrassGIS and Stata

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Sigal Alon, Tel Aviv University
2016-04-06 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Race, Class and Affirmative Action”
View Podcast Here
Abstract: This book-length manuscript (forthcoming by the Russell Sage Foundation in the Fall 2015) evaluates the ability of class-based affirmative action to promote the social and economic mobility of disadvantaged populations and boost diversity at selective postsecondary institutions, as compared with race-based policy. The book draws from within- and between-country comparisons of several prototypes of affirmative action policy. She uses the United States as a case study of race-based preferences, and Israel as a case study of class-based preferences. For each country she compares the model that has actually been implemented to a simulated scenario of the alternative policy type. The overarching goal of this book is to develop new, and more global insights about the potential of race-neutral public policy to promote equality in higher education.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
10:00 am – 10:30 am: Prof. Siwei Cheng
10:30 am – 11:00 am: Prof. Megan Sweeney
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Sara Johnsen, Lena Reiss, Mienah Sharif, Chad Stecher
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Judith Seltzer
3:00 pm – 3:30 pm: Prof. Rob Mare

Rick Dale, University of California, Merced
2016-03-31 14:30 - 16:00 | 314 Royce Hall, 340 Royce Dr, los angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Quantifying the dynamics of multimodal communication with multimodal data.”
*Presented by the Center for Social Statistics
Abstract: Human communication is built upon an array of signals, from body movement to word selection. The sciences of language and communication tend to study these signals individually. However, natural human communication uses all these signals together simultaneously, and in complex social systems of various sizes. It is an open puzzle to uncover how this multimodal communication is structured in time and organized at different scales. Such a puzzle includes analysis of two-person interactions. It also involves an understanding of much larger systems, such as communication over social media at an unprecedentedly massive scale.
Collaborators and I have explored communication across both of these scales, and I will describe examples in the domain of conflict. For example, we’ve studied conflict communication in two-person interactions using video analysis of body and voice dynamics. At the broader scale, we have also used large-scale social media behavior (Twitter) during a massively shared experience of conflict, the 2012 Presidential Debates. These projects reveal the importance of dynamics. In two-person conflict, for example, signal dynamics (e.g., body, voice) during interaction can reveal the quality of that interaction. In addition, collective behavior on Twitter can be predicted even by simple linear models using debate dynamics between Obama and Romney (e.g., one interrupting the other).
The collection, quantification, and modeling of multitemporal and multivariate datasets hold much promise for new kinds of interdisciplinary collaborations. I will end by discussing how they may guide new theoretical directions for pursuing the organization and temporal structure of multimodality in communication.
Url: http://statistics.ucla.edu/seminars/2016-03-31/2:30pm/314-royce-hall

Population Association of America 2016 Annual Meeting Washington, D.C.
2016-03-31 - 2016-04-02 | CA
Looking to catch your favorite CCPR/UCLA affiliate at PAA Washington D.C. this week?
Here is a link and program list of CCPR @ PAA
Enjoy the conference!
https://ucla.app.box.com/CCPRatPAA2016
PAA 2016
Thursday, 03/31/2016
8:15 AM – 9:45 AM, Poster Session 1: Health and Mortality 1, Exhibit Hall A

Mexico’s Epidemic of Violence and Its Public Health Significance on Average Length of Life Hiram Beltran-Sanchez

8:30 AM – 10 AM, Session 9: Home Leaving and the Transition to Adulthood, Coolidge

Changing Times and Places: First Home Leaving Among Late Baby Boomers and Early Millennials during the Transition to Adulthood Sung Park

8:30 AM – 10 AM, Session 16: Social and Behavioral Variation in Adult Mortality, Washington Room 4

Quantifying the Contribution of Earlier Detection and Advancements in Treatment on the Gain in Life Expectancy for US Breast Cancer Patients Since 1975 Hiram Beltran-Sanchez

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Poster Session 2: Marriage, Family, Households, and Unions

Health and Nutrition Consequences of Teenage Pregnancies on the Next Generation in Zimbabwe Corrina Moucheraud

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Session 22: Early-Life Exposures, Aging, and Mortality, Washington Room 1

Secular Mortality Decline, Barker Frailty and Patterns of Cohort Mortality Hiram Beltran- Sanchez

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Session 24: Factors Affecting Educational Attainment in Developing Countries, Virginia B

Social Determinants of School Continuation in Mexico: Evidence Using Panel Data Erika Arenas

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Session 29: Immigration and Linguistic Integration, Marriott Salon 3

Co-Ethnic Communities and Language Attainment in Canada Rennie Lee

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Session 33: Long-acting Contraceptive Methods: Uptake, Use and Outcomes, Delaware A

Session Chair: Mieke Eeckhaut

12:45 PM – 2:15 PM, Poster Session 3: Data, Methods, Families, and Unions, Exhibit A Hall

Country-Level Economic and Social Change and Its Relationship to the Changing Economic Underpinnings of Non-Marriage for Late 20th Century Europe Karra Greenberg
Rising Inequality in Intergenerational Support: A Study of Two Cohorts from the Psid Heeju Sohn

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 54: The Economic and Social Context of Health, Washington Room 4

Explaining the Spatial Clustering of Non-Medical Exemptions from School Vaccination Requirements Ashley Gromis, Kayuet Liu

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 39: Complex Demographic Modeling, Marriot Salon 2

Discrete Barker Frailty and Warped Older Age Mortality Dynamics Hiram Beltran-Sanchez

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 44: Intergenerational Transmission of Attainment and Well-Being, Maryland B

Shared Lifetimes, Multigenerational Exposure, and Educational Attainment Robert Mare

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 48: Patterns and Determinants of Contraceptive Use, Marriot Salon 1

Session Chair: Mieke Eeckhaut

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 50: Prospects for Mortality Decline in Countries with Low Life Expectancies, Washington Room 2

Session Chair: Patrick Heuveline

1:00 PM– 2:30 PM, Session 51: Returns to Higher Education, Virginia A

Discussant: Jennie Brand

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Poster Session 4: Migration, Urbanization, Population, Development and Environment, Exhibit Hall A

Parents in Mexico with Adult Children in the U.S.: Child Availability, Social Support, and Social Engagement Anne Pebley
The Effect of Adult Children Living in the United States on the Likelihood of Cognitive Impairment for Older Parents Living in Mexico Anne Pebley

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Session 67: Fertility Intentions and Relationships, Washington Room 5

Discussant: Jessica Gipson

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Session 60: Biosocial and Genetic Mechanisms in Aging, Coolidge

Discussant: Hiram Beltran-Sanchez
The Molecular Fountain of Youth: Can We Identify a Genetic Signature for Human Healthspan Eileen Crimmins

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Session 73: New Demographic Measures and Analytic Approaches, Marriot Salon 3

Measuring Inequality in Early Mortality Across All Births: Bayesian Approach with Application to India Antonio Pedro Ramos
4:30 PM – 6:00 PM, Session 80: Children and Migration, McKinley

Psychological and Behavioral Well-Being of Chinese Children, and Variations by Migration Status: Evidence from a Recent National Survey on Migration and Children Donald Treiman

4:30 PM – 6:00 PM, Session 82: Contraception: Uptake, Discontinuation, and Non-Use, Washington Room 6

Does Empowerment Differently Influence Contraceptive Use and Fertility in Tanzania? Contrasting Mechanisms Using Structural Equation Jessica Gipson, Kyoko Shimamoto

4:30 – 6:00 PM, Session 85: Gender, Power, Sexual Health, and Family Planning, Marriot Salon 1

Uncertainty and Mortality Estimates in the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) Region: 1850-2010 Hiram Beltran-Sanchez

4:30 PM – 6:00 PM, Session 90: Migration, Living Arrangements, and Families, Delaware A

Decisions to MOVE and Decisions to STAY: Life Course Events and Mobility Outcomes • William Clark

4:30 – 6:00 PM, Session 94: Statistical Demography, Marriot Salon 1

Uncertainty and Mortality Estimates in the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) Region: 1850-2010 Hiram Beltran-Sanchez

4:45 PM – 6:15 PM, Poster Session 5: Aging, Gender, Race, and Ethnicity, Exhibit Hall A

Moving to Opportunity in the Early 20th Century: Evidence from the Industrial Removal Office Leah Boustan, Dylan Connor
Variation in Age Segregation in American Metropolitan Areas, 1880-2010: Consequences of Demographic and Family Changes John Sullivan

4:45 PM – 6:15 PM, Poster Session 55: Aging, Gender, Race, and Ethnicity, Exhibit Hall A

Neighborhood Diversity, Social Ties, and Civil Society William Rosales

Friday, 04/01/2016
8:30 AM – 10:00 AM, Session 97: Biodemography, Health and Mortality, Washington Room 2

Predicting Mortality Among Older US Adults Using Self-Rated Health, Performance-Based Measures, and Biomarkers: Differences by Sociodemographic Characteristics Eileen Crimmins

8:30 AM – 10:00 AM, Session 98: Birth Timing and Transitions in Economic and Social Context, Delaware A

Reconsidering (In)Equality in the Use of IUDs: The Changing Context of Contraceptive Choice Across the Reproductive Life Cycle Megan Sweeney, Mieke Eeckhaut, Jessica Gipson

8:30 AM – 10:00 AM, Session 102: Gender and Family, Coolidge

Session Chair: Margaret Gough
The Gendered Meaning of Clean: An Experimental Housework Design Sara Thebaud

8:30 AM – 10:00 AM, Session 113: Urbanization and Urban Change Around the World, Virginia C

The Effects of Passive Urbanization on Children’s Family Support for Rural Elders in China Di Liang

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Poster Session 7: Health and Mortality 2, Exhibit Hall A

Sexual Identity Discordance, Stress, and Depression Among Young Adults Evan Krueger, Dawn Upchurch

10:15 AM – 11:45 AM, Session 129: Sexual Identity, Behavior, and Health, Washington Room 5

Session Chair: Ilan Meyer
Discussant: Gary Gates

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM, Session 152: Socioeconomic Disadvantage, Health, and Mortality among Young and Middle Aged Adults, Washington Room 3

Race, Socioeconomic Status, and Depressive Symptoms: The Role of Goal-Striving Stress Carol Aneshensel, Karra Greenberg

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Poster Session 9: Health and Mortality 3, Exhibit Hall A

Disparities in Access to Healthcare: The Intersection of Rural/Urban Places and Race/Ethnicity Chandra Ford, Steven Wallace, May-Choo Wang
How Different Types of Childhood Adversity Impact the Development of Depressive Symptoms in Young Adulthood: Findings from the Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, Wave IV Dawn Upchurch

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Session 155: Alternative Methods for Measuring the LGBT Population, Delaware A

Putting the “T” in LBGT: Testing and Fielding Questions to Identify Transgender People in the California Health Interview Survey Ninez Ponce, Matt Jans, Gary Gates, Bianca Wilson, Jody Herman, Royce Park, David Grant
Discussant: Gary Gates

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Poster Session 9: Health and Mortality 3, Exhibit Hall A

The Impact of Different Childhood Adversities on Depressive Symptoms in Young Adulthood Jenna van Draanen, Dawn Upchurch

2:45 PM – 4:15 PM, Session 158: Differentials in Child Health Interventions and Child Mortality, Washington Room 3

Has Democracy Reduced the Rich-Poor Gap in Child Mortality? An Analysis of 5 Million Births from 50 Developing Countries Since 1970 Antonio Pedro Ramos

4:30 PM – 6:00 PM, Session: Presidential Address and Awards Ceremony, Marriot Salon 3
Presidential Address: Family Change and Changing Family Demography• Judith A. Seltzer
Saturday, 04/02/2016
9:00 AM – 10:30 AM, Poster Session 10: Children and Youth, Exhibit Hall A

Repeat Teen Births: Does Father Presence Matter? Marquitta Dorsey
Teacher Social Origins and Student Success: The Effect of Teacher Race and Socioeconomic Background on Teacher Perceptions of Students and Student Achievement Amber Villalobos

9:00 AM – 10:30 AM, Session 176: Determinants of Marriage in International Perspective, Maryland B

An Assessment of Early Marriage in Malawi Susan Watkins

9:00 AM – 10:30 AM, Session 180: Health and Social Ties, Washington Room 1

Intergenerational Transfers and the Risk of Obesity for Mothers Margaret Gough

9:00 AM – 10:30 AM, Session 188: Race/Ethnicity and Health Disparities, Delaware B

Race/Ethnicity & Smoking Cessation Following a Health Shock in Middle and Later Life: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study Eileen Crimmins

9:00 AM – 10:30 AM, Session 189: Reproductive Health and Fertility: Research on Couples, Washington Room 5

Contraceptive Sterilization Among U.S. Couples: Patterns of Use By Education and Racial and Ethnic Background • Mieke Eeckhaut

10:45 AM – 12:15 PM, Session 205: Simulation Models for Understanding Health and Mortality, Washington Room 2

Empirically Calibrated Simulation Experiment of Non-Medical Vaccine Exemptions and Disease Outbreak Potential in California Kayuet Liu

10:45 AM – 12:15 PM, Session 195: Instability in Family Life Over Time and Across Groups, Maryland A

Discussant: Megan Sweeney

10:45 AM – 12:15 PM, Session 198: Job Loss and Unemployment, Washington Room 6

The Social and Economic Context of Worker Displacement Jennie Brand

11:00 AM – 12:30 PM, Poster Session 11: Economy, Labor Force Participation, Education, and Inequality, Exhibit Hall A

Barriers to Degree Attainment Among Latinos Enrolled in Selective and Elite Institutions Annie Lee
Economic Resources Across Generations Sung Park, Judith A. Seltzer

12:30 PM – 2:00 PM, Session 209: Data and Methodological Innovations in Health and Mortality, Washington Room 2

Discussant: Eileen Crimmins

12:30 PM – 2:00 PM, Session 211: Demography of 21st Century Epidemics: HIV/AIDS, Ebola, MERS, and Other Diseases, Washington Room 1

Surviving the Epidemic: Families and Well-Being, Malawi 1998-2013 Susan Watkins

12:30 PM – 2:00 PM, Session 219: Social Determinants of Wealth and Income, Delaware A

The Shifting Structure of Intragenerational Inequality Siwei Cheng

12:30 PM – 2:00 PM, Session 220: Social Environment and Chronic Disease, Washington Room 3

Impact of Environmental Stress on Biological Health Risk: The War on Drugs and Blood Pressure in Mexico Arun Karlamangla, Teresa Seeman

Betsy Sinclair, Washington University in St Louis
2016-03-29 14:30 - 16:00 | 314 Royce Hall, 340 Royce Dr, los angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Electronic Homestyle: Tweeting Ideology”
Abstract: Ideal points are central to the study of political partisanship and an essential component to our understanding of legislative and electoral behavior. We employ automated text analysis on tweets from Members of Congress to estimate their ideal points using Naive Bayes classification and Support Vector Machine classification. We extend these tools to estimate the proportion of partisan speech used in each legislator’s tweets. We demonstrate an association between these measurements, existing ideal point measurements, and district ideology.
Url: http://statistics.ucla.edu/seminars/2016-03-29/2:30pm/314-royce-hall

CCPR 2016 PAA Practice Session
2016-03-16 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Please join us to hear our residents interesting research and give feedback for their upcoming PAA presentations.
Schedule:

12:00 – 12:20pm – Sung S. Park “Changing Times and Places: First Home Leaving Among Late Baby Boomers and Early Millennials during the Transition to Adulthood”

12:20 – 12:40pm – Di Liang, “The Effects of Passive Urbanization on Children’s Family Support for Rural Elders in China”

12:40 – 1:00pm – Karra Greenberg, “Race, Socioeconomic Status, and Depressive Symptoms: The Role of Goal-Striving Stress”

1:00 – 1:20pm – Ashley Gromis, “Explaining the Spatial Clustering of Non-Medical Exemptions from School Vaccination Requirements”

[Canceled] Magne Mogstad, University of Chicago
2016-03-09 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Magne Mogstad
Speaker canceled due to unavoidable circumstances.

Completing an IRB application: Common mistakes and solutions.
2016-03-04 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Todd Franke
Professor and Chair
Department of Social Welfare
UCLA – Luskin School of Public Affairs
About: This presentation will briefly go through the initial application process, amendments and continuing reviews with a focus on working with the IRB and the understandable but common mistakes in completing the various applications. It will include information on the process of obtaining and renewing CITI training for both PI’s and Faculty Sponsors.
Todd Franke is an educational psychologist with extensive experience in applied statistics and psychometrics. He has developed and led evaluations for multiple agencies that serve thousands of families representing unique geographic and cultural communities in California, particularly southern California counties. He conducts cross-sectional and longitudinal research and evaluation in the fields of education, child welfare, adolescent violence particularly with gang involved youth, and mental health.

Kathryn Yount, Emory University
2016-03-02 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Community Norms, Collective Practices, and Partner Violence against Women in Bangladesh”
View Podcast Here
Study 1: Child marriage, before age 18, is a collective practice reflecting institutionalized male dominance and is a risk factor for intimate partner violence (IPV) against women. Worldwide, Bangladesh has the highest prevalence of IPV and very early child marriage, before age 15. How the community prevalence of very early child marriage influences a woman’s risk of IPV is unknown. Using panel data (2013–2014) from 3,355 women first married 4–12 years prior in 77 Bangladeshi villages, we tested the protective effect of a woman’s later first marriage (age 18 or older), the adverse effect of a higher village prevalence of very early child marriage, and whether any protective effect of a woman’s later first marriage was diminished or reversed where very early child marriage was more prevalent, suggesting that later marriage in such communities evokes violent backlash. Almost half (44.5%) of women reported incident physical IPV, and most (78.9%) had married before age 18. At the village-level, the incidence of physical IPV ranged from 11.4% to 75.0%, and the mean age at first marriage ranged from 14.8 to 18.0 years. The mean village-level prevalence of very early child marriage was 20.3% and ranged from 3.9% to 51.9%. In main-effects models, marrying at 18 or later protected against physical IPV, and more prevalent very early child marriage (village % married before age 15) was a risk factor. The interaction of individual later marriage and village very early child marriage prevalence was positive; thus, the likely protective effect of marrying later was negated in villages where very early child marriage was prevalent. Collectively reducing very early child marriage may be needed to protect women from IPV.

Study 2: Men’s perpetration of intimate partner violence (IPV) is common, but its multilevel determinants are understudied. Using a probability sample of 570 married men 18–34 years in 50 urban and 62 rural communities in the Bangladesh survey of the 2011 UN Multi-Country Study of Men and Violence, we tested for (a) a positive relationship of more equitable community gender norms among senior men (n=938; married, 35-49 years) and (b) a negative relationship of a junior man’s greater exposure to childhood violence with his lifetime rate of physical IPV perpetration (n=570; married, 18–34 years). We also tested whether more equitable community gender norms mitigated the rate of physical IPV perpetration associated with more childhood exposure to violence. Among younger married men, 50% reportedly ever perpetrated physical IPV, the mean lifetime number of physical IPV types perpetrated was 1.1 (SD 1.3) out of 5.0 listed. A majority (64%) reported childhood exposure to violence. In multilevel Poisson models, a man with more childhood exposure to violence had a higher log rate (Est. 0.31, SE 0.04, p<.001) and a man living amidst the most equitable gender norms had a lower log rate (Est. -0.52, SE 0.19, p<.01) of perpetrating physical IPV; however, no significant cross-level interaction was observed. Interventions that address the trauma of childhood violence and promote more equitable community gender norms may be needed to mitigate IPV perpetration by younger men.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
9:30 am – 10:00 am: Prof. Hiram Beltran-Sanchez
11:00 am – 11:30 am: Prof. Patrick Heuveline
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Sara Johnsen
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Corrina Moucheraud
3:00 pm – 3:30 pm: Prof. Anne Pebley
4:00 pm – 4:30 pm: Prof. Manisha Shah

Seth Spielman, University of Colorado, Boulder
2016-02-24 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Measuring neighborhoods in the new data economy.”
Abstract: The data economy in the United States has changed dramatically in the past 5-10 years. Naively one might argue that this new data economy holds particular promise for academics, because revolutions in science are often preceded by revolutions in measurement. But for social scientists who study cities in the United States these changes are mixed. The new data economy is complex complicates the study of neighborhoods. In this talk I’ll describe one such complication – the replacement of the long form of the decennial census with the American Community Survey in 2010. The ACS produces estimates for thousands of variables at a variety of geographic scales. However, estimates from the ACS are terribly imprecise, for many policy relevant variables ACS estimates are almost unusable. In this talk I’ll describe the quality of the ACS and use its shortcomings to motivate a discussion of changing the way we measure neighborhoods. Rather than just talk about alternatives I’ll present results from two novel computational methods that leverage new ways of thinking about the measurement of neighborhoods. One of these methods can be used to process existing public domain ACS estimates to dramatically reduce the margin of error.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Dylan Connor, Matthew Miller, Sung Park, Rosanna Smart, Chad Stecher, John Sullivan
2:30 – 3:00 pm: Prof. Siwei Cheng

Randall Akee, UCLA
2016-02-17 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Race Matters: Income Inequality and Mobility from 2000 to 2013”
View Podcast Here
Abstract: Using unique linked Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Census Bureau data matched at the individual level, we examine the differences in levels and trends for income inequality across racial and ethnic groups in the United States. Our data span 2000 to 2013, a period including the Great Recession, and will thus inform us on how financial crises affect inequality for important sub-groups of Americans. Previous research has focused on the increasing concentration of income and assets in the top decile of tax filers; this analysis will provide information on the entire distribution of income by decile, highlighting the circumstances of those at the lower end of the distribution as well. Because our data include both administrative and census data, our research is the first to provide detailed income and wage inequality information for racial and ethnic groups. Finally, we focus on short-run measures of mobility and document this measure over the decade and post-Great Recession era.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch

James Raymo, University of Wisconsin, Madison
2016-02-10 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Precarious employment and fertility: Insights from Japan’s “Lost 20 Years””
Abstract: In this paper, we examine relationships between precarious employment and fertility. We focus on Japan, a country characterized by a prolonged economic downturn, significant increases in both unemployment and non-standard employment, a strong link between marriage and childbearing, and pronounced gender differences in economic roles and opportunities. Analyses of retrospective employment, marriage, and fertility data for the period 1990-2007 indicate that changing employment circumstances for men are associated with lower levels of marriage while changes for women are associated with higher levels of marital fertility. These two offsetting relationships combine to limit the overall association between changes in employment circumstances and declining fertility. Results of counterfactual standardization analyses suggest that Japan’s total fertility rate (TFR) would have been slightly lower than observed if aggregate- and individual-level employment conditions had remained unchanged from the 1980s. We discuss the implications of these results in light of ongoing policy discussions about fertility promotion and academic debates about the changing nature of gender relations within the family.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
10:30 am – 11:00 am: Prof. Siwei Cheng
11:00 am – 11:30 am: Prof. Robert Mare
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch:
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Jennie Brand
3:00 pm – 3:30 pm: Prof. Patrick Heuveline
3:30 pm – 4:00 pm: Prof. Judith Seltzer

Tom Valente, University of Southern California
2016-02-03 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Social Network Influences on and for Behavior Change”
View Podcast Here
Abstract: In this presentation, Valente will show how social networks influence behaviors across a wide variety of applications. Recent research on the diffusion of innovations will also be presented along with results from the study of the diffusion of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). Models for how social networks can be used for program implementation and network interventions will also be detailed.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Paul Chandanabhumma, Matthew Miller, Sara Johnsen, Chad Stecher, Lena Riess, Alina Arseniev-Koehler, Subasri Narasimhan
2:30pm – 3:00pm: Prof. Ka-Yuet Liu
3:30pm – 4:00pm: Prof. Gabriel Rossman

Christine Dehlendorf, UC San Francisco
2016-01-27 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Health Equity in Family Planning and Family Planning Care: Putting the Focus back on Women”
View Podcast Here
Abstract: Differences in contraceptive use and unintended pregnancy by race/ethnicity are well described. Interpretation of these differences, and how they relate to the desire to achieve health equity, is complex due to the nature of reproduction, including the personal, social and historical context in which reproductive and contraceptive decisions are made. Lack of attention to these contextual factors has the potential to interfere with the ultimate goal of optimizing women’s reproductive health and to exacerbate health inequities. This talk will review data regarding women’s reproductive outcomes and how they vary by their sociodemographic characteristics, and discuss conventional approaches in both public health efforts and clinical family planning care to thinking about and responding to these data. I will then make the case for a woman-centered approach that focuses on individual’s preferences and conceptualizations of reproductive health as the best strategy to meet women’s needs and promote health equity.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
10:00 – 10:30 am: Prof. Jessica Gipson
10:30 am – 11:00 am: Mieke Eeckhaut
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch:Alexis Cooke, Larissa Dooley

Randall Kuhn, University of Denver
2016-01-20 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Thirty-Five Years Later: Long-Term Impacts of the Matlab Maternal and Child Health Program on Migration and Labor Market Outcomes”
Abstract: Despite global proliferation of reproductive health and family planning programs, little is known about their long‐term effects. This talk introduces a project that provides causal evidence on the impact of the Matlab Maternal and Child Health and Family Planning Program (MCH‐FP) in Bangladesh, over thirty‐five years after it began. The Matlab Health and Socioeconomic Survey 2 (MHSS2) collected surveys and objective tests from a sample of 36,000 participants, including beneficiaries and their descendants, with followup of ~90% of migrants living outside the study area or abroad. I introduce the larger study in the context of evaluating MCH/FP program impacts on migration and labor market success. To the extent that family planning reduced competition for resources, the program may discourage migration among treated populations. However, to the extent that child health services increased human capital, treated individuals may be better positioned to migrate successfully. The results illustrate the importance of intensive migrant followup for reducing attrition bias.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars@ccpr.ucla.edu
9:00 am – 9:30 am: Prof. Judith Seltzer
10:00 am – 10:20 am: Prof. Manisha Shah
10:30 am – 11:00 am: Prof. Siwei Cheng
11:30 am – 12:00 pm: Prof. Patrick Heuveline
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Karra Greenberg, Sung S. Park, Chad Stecher
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Megan Sweeney
3:30 pm – 4:00 pm: Prof. Till von Wachter

Jennifer Johnson-Hanks, UC Berkeley
2016-01-13 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Restless Denominators”
Vimeo Podcast
Abstract: This paper explores how denominators are used, misused, and—especially—how often they are missing, and to what effects. The paper makes three arguments. First, that denominators are essential in domains far beyond the quantitative disciplines that presently attend to them. In ethnography, in practical politics, in cultural studies, in everyday decision-making, we need to think much more about the pools of possible chances out of which emerge the events we observe. Second, denominators in the social sciences are much more intently theoretical objects than their usual treatment suggests, both in the sense that populations are not naturally bounded in the ways that many statistics imply, and in the sense that people do not merely find themselves randomly in certain populations facing certain risks, but rather participate in a variety of ways in their location. Finally, I argue that a classical demographic way of thinking about the denominator—as exposure to risk—offers an elegant way of integrating contemporary theory about uncertainty, agency, and habitus into formal quantitative research.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
10:30 am – 11:00 am: Prof. Jessica Gipson
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Lei Feng, Karra Greenberg, Sara Johnsen, Lena Riess, John Sullivan, Ka Yuet
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Patrick Heuveline

Emily Smith-Greenaway, University of Southern California
2016-01-06 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Death and Desirability: Retrospective Reporting of Unintended Pregnancy after a Child’s Death”
Abstract: Social scientists have long debated how to best measure pregnancy intentions. The standard approach in domestic and international surveys is to use mothers’ retrospective reports of their intentions at the time of conception. Because women have already given birth at the time of this report, their children’s health may influence their responses. Some fertility scholars have argued that mothers will be more likely to recall “lower quality”—that is, unhealthy—children as unintended. What about children who are no longer alive? In contemporary sub-Saharan Africa, where one in ten African children die before their fifth birthday, this research aims to understand whether women are susceptible to recalling deceased children, and the pregnancies from which they resulted, in a more positive light. Leveraging Demographic and Health Survey data from 31 sub-Saharan African countries, I will demonstrate how children’s health and vital status is associated with women’s retrospective reports of pregnancy intentions. The results challenge the reliability of standard measures of pregnancy intentions in high mortality settings, and thus our current knowledge of the levels and consequences of unintended pregnancies in these contexts.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars AT ccpr.ucla.edu
10:00 am – 10:30 am: Prof. Jessica Gipson
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch: Subasri Narasimhan, Sung Park, Emily Treleaven
2:30 pm – 3:00 pm: Prof. Patrick Heuveline

China Multigenerational Panel Datasets Workshop
2016-01-06 - 2016-01-08 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Co-sponsored with Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR), the workshop will feature the China Multigenerational Panel Dataset-Shuangcheng (CMGPD-SC), the release of which is nearing completing, as well as the previously released China Multigenerational Panel Dataset-Liaoning (CMGPD-LN).

NBER Cohort Studies Data Users Conference
2015-12-11 09:00 - 17:00 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
CCPR is hosting the annual NBER Cohort Studies meeting which brings together researchers from different fields interested in aging related issues or in methodologies applicable to aging and has set the seeds for synergistic relationships between economists, sociologists, demographers, psychologists, epidemiologists, and MDs. The meeting is funded in part by an NIH conference grant through NBER.

NBER Cohort Studies Meeting
2015-12-11 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

Cohort Studies Meeting

Dora Costa, Organizer

December 11, 2015

California Center for Population Research at UCLA
337 Charles E. Young Drive, East
Room 4240, Public Affairs Building (4th Floor)
Los Angeles, California

Program

Siwei Cheng, UCLA
2015-12-02 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“The Shifting Structure of Intragenerational Inequality”
Abstract: Traditional stratification and inequality research often treats individuals as single points of observation in the stratification system. This paper extends current scholarship on economic inequality by invoking the life course perspective to study the intragenerational pattern of wage inequality, focusing particularly on how its structure has changed across cohorts. Using over 40 years of national representative data from CPS and PSID, I found that inequality increases over the life course for all cohorts born between 1941 and 1970. Further, cross-cohort comparison reveals that the amount of intragenerational growth of inequality has increased from earlier to later cohorts, suggesting that the labor market plays a more important role in generating inequality in recent years. Microlevel decomposition analysis suggests that the relative importance of the underlying mechanisms for intragenerational inequality has also shifted across cohorts, with a growing amount of intragenerational growth of inequality attributable to education-based cumulative advantage and residual inequality.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars@ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch:

Rodrigo Pinto, UCLA
2015-11-18 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Beyond LATE: Economic Choices and the Identification of Multiple Treatment Effects “
Abstract: “Monotonicity” refers to a condition in choice models with instrumental variables in which a local variation of an instrument shifts all agents toward or against a choice. This paper presents a useful framework to investigate the role of monotonicity in the identification of causal effects in multiple choice models with categorical instrumental variables. I first examine a new monotonicity condition that applies to unordered choice models with multiple treatments. Like its analogous property in the binary choice model, I show that unordered monotonicity imply and is implied by additive separability in observables and unobservables in choice equations. I show that unordered monotonicity may arise from preference properties of choice behavior. I then exemplify the use of preference properties to identify causal effects in choice models where monotonicity does not hold. I show that identification and equivalence results flow from simple properties of binary matrices.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars@ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch:

Reproducibility of Statistical Results
2015-11-13 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
Presented By:

Mark S. Handcock
(Professor, Statistics)
Jeffrey B. Lewis
(Professor, Political Science)
Marc A. Suchard
(Professor, Biomathematics, Biostatistics and Human Genetics)

Reproducibility is one of the main principles of the scientific method. This panel of scholars will discuss issues in the importance of replication of statistical results. Increasing attention is being paid to improve reporting and hence reproducibility in the social and medical sciences. This panel will discuss some key concerns in study replication, initiatives for increasing replication, and then open the floor to discussion of how we move forward as a scientific community.

Rachel Goldberg, UC Irvine
2015-11-04 12:00 - 13:30 | CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
“Immigrant Generation and Adolescent Childbearing in the United States”
Abstract: Despite recent declines, the teen birth rate in the United States is still the highest among high-income countries. Immigrant youth can be expected to increasingly shape US trends in adolescent childbearing as their share of the youth population continues to grow. About one in four US children has foreign-born parents currently, up from 6% in 1960; this share is projected to rise to one-third by 2050. In this study, I use data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health) to examine how the risk of early childbearing varies by immigrant generation; to what extent generational variation reflects discrepancies in the timing of sexual onset (versus post onset factors); and what family, neighborhood, and individual-level social factors underlie generational differences. I will also describe a new data collection project called the mDiary Study of Adolescent Relationships, which pairs a year-long diary study with an ongoing birth cohort study to increase understanding of the content and quality of teen partnerships over time, and of the childhood precursors and health and developmental consequences of teen relationship behavior.
If you are interested in meeting with or joining the speaker for lunch, please send email to Seminars@ccpr.ucla.edu
12:00 pm – 1:30 pm: Seminar
1:30 pm – 2:30 pm: Proseminar Lunch:
