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October 2018

Berk Ozler, World Bank

October 24, 2018 @ 12:15 pm - 1:45 pm PDT
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

FP3.0: Increasing the uptake of Long-Acting Reversible Contraceptives (LARCs) among adolescent females and young women in Cameroon

In sub-Saharan Africa, 25% of teenagers have started childbearing (ICF, 2015). While young women describe many of these births as planned and intentional, women under the age of 20 also have the greatest percentage of mistimed/unintended pregnancies compared to all other age groups. For example, in Cameroon, more than 30% of the births to this group were unwanted or wanted later (DHS 2011). Low age at first birth has a significant impact on the spacing of births and timing of future pregnancies. It may also reduce accumulation of human capital for both the mother and the child.

Co-sponsored with the UCLA Luskin Senior Fellows Speaker Series 

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Workshop: Getting your Computational Tools for Research

October 25, 2018 @ 2:00 pm - 3:00 pm PDT
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Instructor: Michael Tzen Title: Getting your Computational Tools for Research Location: October 25, 2018, 2:00-3:00 PM 4240 Public Affairs Building CCPR Seminar Room Content: We'll get you started on Github, Rstudio, Stata, and accessing Hoffman2 (UCLA's high performance computing cluster). Please RSVP below https://goo.gl/forms/W6hkM3bnOjfnYGJw2  

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Dalton Conley, Princeton University

October 31, 2018 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PDT
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Social Science in the Age of Genomics

The cost of genetic information has been dropping at a rate faster than that of Moore's law in microcomputing.  As a result, the science of genetic prediction has improved by leaps and bounds in recent years, and with it has emerged a novel field: sociogenomics.  Sociogenomics seeks to integrate genetic and environmental information to obtain a more robust, complete picture of the causes of human behavior.  This talk will highlight some recent examples of sociogenomic research, touching upon issues such as adolescent peer effects, racial discrimination, assortative mating, and fertility patterns.  The talk will conclude by discussing the social and policy implications of genetic prediction.   

Co-sponsored with the Public Policy and Applied Social Science Seminar Series 

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November 2018

Adrian Raftery, University of Washington

November 14, 2018 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Bayesian Population Projections with Migration Uncertainty

The United Nations recently issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries for the first time, using a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework developed by our group at the University of Washington. These take account of uncertainty about future fertility and mortality, but not international migration. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical autoregressive model for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration rates for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net migration. We evaluate our model using out-of-sample validation and compare point projections to the projected migration rates from a persistence model similar to the UN's current method for projecting migration, and also to a state of the art gravity model. We also resolve an apparently paradoxical discrepancy between growth trends in the proportion of the world population migrating and the average absolute migration rate across countries. This is joint work with Jonathan Azose and Hana Ševčíková.

Co-sponsored with the Center for Social Statistics 

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Workshop: Practical Survey Analysis

November 15, 2018 @ 2:00 pm - 3:00 pm PST

Instructor: Michael Tzen Title: Practical Survey Analysis Location: November 15, 2018, 2:00-3:00 PM 4240 Public Affairs Building CCPR Seminar Room Content: We'll walk thru key steps of a data analysis involving a complex survey design. Please RSVP below https://goo.gl/forms/evIP7G8PN0UBG7x72

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Michael Clemens, Center for Global Development

November 28, 2018 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion

An important class of active labor market policy has received little impact evaluation: immigration barriers intended to raise wages and employment by shrinking labor supply. Theories of endogenous technical advance raise the possibility of limited or even perverse impact. We study a natural policy experiment: the exclusion of almost half a million Mexican bracero farm workers from the United States to improve farm labor market conditions. With novel labor market data we measure state-level exposure to exclusion and model the absent changes in technology or crop mix. We fail to reject zero labor market impact, inconsistent with this model.

Co-sponsored with the Public Policy and Applied Social Sciences Seminar 

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December 2018

Alison Norris, The Ohio State University

December 5, 2018 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored with The Bixby Center 

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January 2019

Rocio Titiunik, University of Michigan

January 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored with the Political Science Department, Statistics Department and the Center for Social Statistics 

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Kosuke Imai, Harvard University

January 23, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored with the Political Science Department, Statistics Department and the Center for Social Statistics

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Ushma Upadhyay, UC San Francisco

January 30, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored with The Bixby Center 

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February 2019

Peter Bearman, Columbia University

February 13, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored by the Sociology Department

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Jan Van Bavel, University of Leuven

February 20, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

March 2019

Matt Harding, UC Irvine

March 6, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PST
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Alan Murray, UC Santa Barbara

March 13, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PDT
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

April 2019

Michelle Torres, Washington State University

April 17, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm PDT
CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building
Los Angeles, CA 90095 United States

Co-sponsored with the Political Science Department, Statistics Department and the Center for Social Statistics

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