Brandon Stewart, Princeton University

CCPR Seminar Room 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, United States

How to Make Causal Inferences Using Texts

Texts are increasingly used to make causal inferences: either with the document serving as the treatment or the outcome. We introduce a new conceptual framework to understand all text-based causal inferences, demonstrate fundamental problems that arise when using manual or computational approaches applied to text for causal inference, and provide solutions to the problems we raise.  We demonstrate that all text-based causal inferences depend upon a latent representation of the text and we provide a framework to learn the latent representation.  Estimating this latent representation, however, creates new risks: we may unintentionally create a dependency across observations or create opportunities to fish for large effects.  To address these risks, we introduce a train/test split framework and apply it to estimate causal effects from an experiment on immigration attitudes and a study on bureaucratic responsiveness.  Our work provides a rigorous foundation for text-based causal inferences, connecting two previously disparate literatures. (Joint Work with Egami, Fong, Grimmer and Roberts)

Co-sponsored with the Center for Social Statistics

Tomas Jimenez, Stanford University

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

The Other Side of Assimilation: How Immigrants are Changing American Life

The immigration patterns of the last three decades have profoundly changed nearly every aspect of life in the United States. What do those changes mean for the most established Americans—those whose families have been in the country for multiple generations? The Other Side of Assimilation shows that assimilation is not a one-way street. Jiménez explains how established Americans undergo their own assimilation in response to profound immigration-driven ethnic, racial, political, economic, and cultural shifts.

Co-sponsored with the Center for the Study of International Migration and the Race and Ethnicity Sociology Working Group

Workshop: Getting All Your Research Computing Tools for Summer and Beyond – Hardware and Software

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Title: Getting All Your Research Computing Tools for Summer and Beyond - Hardware and Software Location: May 22, 2019 @ 12:00-1:30 PM 4240 Public Affairs Building CCPR Seminar Room Instructors: Matt Lahmann & Mike Tzen Content: We’ll get CCPR researchers all the computing tools for a productive summer of data science exploration. We'll get you […]

Pascaline Dupas, Stanford University

CCPR Seminar Room 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, United States

The Incidence of Public Subsidies to Private Hospitals under Weak Governance: Evidence from India (joint with Radhika Jain)

Expanding public health insurance and enlisting private agents for service delivery are common policy strategies to meet the goals of universal health coverage, but there is limited evidence from developing countries to inform their design. This paper, joint with Radhika Jain from Harvard School of Public Health, provides quantitative evidence on how insurance design affects program performance and incidence in the context of a government-funded health insurance program that aims to provide free care to 46 million people in Rajasthan, India. We exploit a policy-induced natural experiment, and use administrative claims linked to patient surveys, to provide the first large-scale evidence of private hospital behavior under public health insurance.

Workshop: Getting The Data Yourself – A Web Scraping Code Through

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Title: Getting The Data Yourself: A Web Scraping Code Through Location: May 29, 2019 @ 12:00-1:30 PM 4240 Public Affairs Building CCPR Seminar Room Instructors: Chad Pickering & Mike Tzen Content: We’ll empower CCPR researchers to get the domain-relevant data they want   slides exercise

Second Annual Robert Mare Student Lectureship: Carolina Arteaga, PhD (c) Economics, UCLA

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Essays in Education and Crime in Colombia

This dissertation contains three essays in applied microeconomics. In the first chapter paper, I test whether the return to college education is the result of human capital accumulation or instead reflects the fact that attending college signals higher ability to employers. The second chapter provides evidence that parental incarceration increases children’s educational attainment. Finally, in the third chapter I derive a new expression that extends the Local Average Treatment Effect concept, to a setting with two sources of unobserved treatment heterogeneity.

Summer Institute in Computational Social Science

CCPR Seminar Room 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, United States

The purpose of the Summer Institute is to bring together graduate students, postdoctoral researchers, and early career faculty interested in computational social science. The Summer Institute is open to both social scientists (broadly conceived) and data scientists (broadly conceived).

Summer Institute in Computational Social Science Panel Presentation

Luskin Conference Center Laureate Room

Summer Institute in Computational Social Science Panel Presentation

Friday June 21, 2019 2:00pm – 5:00pm
Reception 5:00pm – 6:00pm
Luskin Conference Center Laureate Room
• 2:00pm – 3:15pm Digital Demography
Prof. Dennis Feehan, UC Berkeley and Prof. Ka-Yuet Liu, UCLA
• 3:30pm – 4:45pm Computational Causal Inference
Prof. Judea Pearl, UCLA and Prof. Sam Pimentel, UC Berkeley

Big Data for Big Social Issues

UCLA Neuroscience Research Building Auditorium (NRB 132)

Big Data for Big Social Issues Summer Institute in Computational Social Science Panel: 1:00pm - 2:45pm Prof. John Friedman, Brown University: "Income Inequality and Social Mobility: What Can We Learn from Big Data?" 3:00pm-5:00pm Reception 5:00-6:00pm Click here to view a recording of the talk  A defining feature of the American Dream is upward income […]

Welcome and Introductions

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

"Welcome and Introductions"

Please come join us to learn all about the California Center for Population Research!

This will be the kick-off event for the start of the upcoming 2019-2020 CCPR Seminar Series.

Jonathan Daw, Penn State University

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

"Renal Relationships: Understanding Living Kidney Donor Relationship Patterns"

Abstract: Who do we turn to in times of need? Traditionally, social support research has shown a strong preference to rely on strong ties in these scenarios - often, even when weak ties might be better positioned to help. However, this conclusion has recently been challenged by Small (2017), who argues that people often rely on weak ties for emotional support in stressful times, preferring to avoid more complicated strong ties. This suggests that the types of ties we activate in times of need varies by the situation. In this study, we apply this framework to the study of living donor kidney transplantation (LDKT), effectively asking: How does this behavior differ when the stakes are potentially life and death? Using a variety of primary and secondary datasets, we compare the distribution of LDKT ties to the distribution of ties who would be likely able to help, then seek to explain these relative utilization patterns as a function of medical fundamentals, social/spatial relationships, and qualitative reasoning invoked by survey respondents. Our preliminary findings show that LDKT patterns are primarily driven by social relationship quality, and far less by medical fundamentals such as the potential donors' health or genetic relationship to the patient.

Adriana Lleras-Muney, UC Los Angeles

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

"Can Labor Market Discrimination Explain Racial Disparities in Schooling? Evidence from WWII"

Abstract: Can the racial gap in labor market earnings explain black-white disparities in the schooling of the next generation? To answer this, we exploit the large increase in labor demand in markets that received WWII defense industry contracts. This increase in labor demand combined with a policy that prohibited discrimination by race and ethnicity in the defense industries resulted in significant increases in African American earnings and declines in the racial gap in earnings between 1940 and 1950. This was achieved largely via occupational upgrading among African Americans into semi-skilled professions. In contrast with women, whose progress in the labor market was largely reversed in short order, this occupational upgrading persisted for African Americans. We argue that this persistence is consistent with declines in statistical discrimination. Moreover, we find that in these same labor markets, the next generation of African Americans invested relatively more in their human capital, as measured by greater years of schooling and a decline in the black-white schooling gap. We explore three reasons why reductions in the black white earnings gap might lead to reductions in the black white schooling gap of the next generation. First, this would relax the financial constraint faced by many African American families, allowing their children to remain in school longer. Second, occupational upgrading might have increased the returns to human capital among African Americans. Finally, there may be political responses that result in changes in public funding and provision of schooling and other public goods that affect the human capital accumulation of the next generation of African Americans. We find evidence consistent with the first explanation only. We conclude that efforts to further reduce the racial gap in schooling might consider labor market interventions.

Workshop: Data Carpentry for Social Science

Data Carpentry develops and teaches workshops on the fundamental data skills needed to conduct research. Its target audience is researchers who have little to no prior computational experience, and its lessons are domain specific, building on learners' existing knowledge to enable them to quickly apply skills learned to their own research. Participants will be encouraged […]

Michelle Jackson, Stanford University

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

A Century of Educational Inequality in the United States

Abstract: The “income inequality hypothesis” holds that rising income inequality affects the distribution of a wide range of social and economic outcomes. Research highlighting the sharp increase in educational inequality in recent decades has fuelled concerns that rising income inequality has had damaging consequences for equality of educational opportunity, even while other researchers have provided descriptive evidence at odds with the income inequality hypothesis. In this paper we track long-term trends in family income inequalities in college enrollment ("enrollment inequality") using all available nationally representative datasets for cohorts born between 1908 and 1995. We show that the trend in enrollment inequality moved in lockstep with the trend in income inequality over the past century. There is one exception to this general finding: for cohorts at risk of serving in the Vietnam War, enrollment inequality was high while income inequality was low. During this period, enrollment inequality was significantly higher for men than for women. Aside from this singular confounding event, evidence on a century of enrollment inequality establishes a strong association between income inequality and enrollment inequality, providing support for the view that rising income inequality is fundamentally changing the distribution of life chances.
Co-sponsored with the Social Stratification, Inequality and Mobility Working Group

Stefan Wager, Stanford University

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Machine Learning for Causal Inference

Abstract: Given advances in machine learning over the past decades, it is now possible to accurately solve difficult non-parametric prediction problems in a way that is routine and reproducible. In this talk, I'll discuss how these machine learning tools can be rigorously integrated into observational study analyses, and how they interact with classical ideas around randomization, semiparametric modeling, double robustness, etc. When deployed carefully, machine learning enables us to develop statistical estimators that reflect the study design more closely than basic linear regression based methods.

Statistical Computing Part 1

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Instructor: Matt Lahmann We'll get you signed up for hoffman2 and TS2. With Hoffman2 and TS2, you'll have state of the art hardware resources and most software you'll ever need for research. RSVP Signup via https://forms.gle/FgGuPdqQdF3RLVzC8

Courtney Cogburn, Columbia University

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Race, Culture and Health: Conceptual and Methodological Innovations

Abstract: Building a culture of health and achieving health equity requires that we engage cultural processes in a more meaningful way. Cultural processes and systems are commonly referenced in health inequity scholarship but empirical research generally lags behind this conceptual emphasis. I argue that employing a transdisciplinary approach to examining intersections of culture, structure and racism is a valuable analytical tool for understanding the production of social and racial inequities in health. In this talk, I’ll discuss conceptual work advancing the concept of “cultural racism” in relation to racial inequities in health and will also provide an overview of related empirical projects: 1) a laboratory experiment examining the effects of media-based racism on physiological, psychological and behavioral stress responses, 2) a data science project exploring ways to assess chronic exposure to media-based racism and possible links to population health and 3) the use of virtual reality to promote structural competence regarding the structural and cultural roots of racism. In lieu of a deep dive on a single project or paper, the presentation seeks to support a rich conversation about the need for conceptual and methodological innovation in service of better understanding and addressing racial inequities in health.

CEGA-EASST Scholars from East Africa

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

Organizers: Manisha Shah and Daniel Posner November 14, 2019 4240 Public Affairs Building EASST invites East African researchers to apply for a 4-month fellowship at UC Berkeley to build skills in rigorous social science research and impact evaluation–these are the fellows who won this fellowship. Each scholar will present on the following topics; “Impact of […]

Statistical Computing Part 2

Instructor: Mike Tzen Using a very common data analysis scenario of "Group-(Split)-Apply-Combine", we'll show you how to make the most of cutting edge powerful hardware in both Hoffman2 and TS2. RSVP signup via https://forms.gle/i9fXG2Dcbw8L5AG38 slides rscript

CEGA-EASST & BRAC Fellow Seminar

4240 Public Affairs Bldg

The Luskin School of Public Affairs and the California Center for Population Research invites you for a Lunch Seminar with CEGA-EASST & BRAC Fellows next Thursday, November 14 from 12:30-1:30 pm in the CCPR Seminar Room. Lunch will be served, please RSVP here. Ronald Mulebeke (EASST fellow), Research Fellow at Makerere School of Public Health "Impact […]